He and his friends can be heard shouting and celebrating as the volcano erupts in front of them right as he finished his countdown.
According to the United States Geological Survey website, most volcanoes provide a warning before an eruption. The notable precursors to an eruption may include any increase in the frequency and intensity of felt earthquakes, noticeable steaming or fumarolic activity and new or enlarged areas of hot ground, subtle swelling of the ground surface and small changes in heat flow.
However, an interesting video has surfaced online in which a man can be seen successfully predicting a volcano eruption right down to the second. In the video posted on Reddit by u/Still_Udus, he is seen animatedly counting down from seven. "Seven... Six... Five... Four... Three... Two... One..," he counts. The camera then turns to the volcano and a beat later, it erupts. Black smoke and fire emerge from the top of the mountain as the man and his friends are heard shouting and celebrating the fact that he accurately predicted the moment it would erupt.
The 13-second video has more than 71k upvotes on Reddit. It is captioned, "The man successfully predicted volcano eruption." u/N3XUS117 commented, "Lol that's Fuego in Guatemala, it erupts all the time. Must have taken a couple of tries but still cool nonetheless!" u/The-Nimbus wrote, "You can tell he's so excited because it's the 245th time he's done this countdown in a row in the hope of nailing it." u/autumn-knight expressed, "Well that was a blast." u/MrsCCRobinson96 said, "Off by two seconds but damn that was pretty darn good predicting!!" u/Bishhhop shared, "I did this with a shooting star one time in high school with a bunch of my buddies. Great memory. If only it were captured on camera."
Theoretically, a volcano goes from a resting phase to an unrest phase before an eruption, according to kids.frontiers.org.The unrest phase can actually last from days to months. Volcanologists apparently have two approaches to forecast eruptions. First, they have tried to predict that it would happen for sure. In the second approach, they try to predict whether an eruption will happen using a percentage of likelihood. This is called a probabilistic approach. "Only when monitoring data collected during unrest show linear behavior eruptions can be predicted by a deterministic approach," says the website.
Last year in December, thousands of people turned up to see when Mauna Lao, the largest active volcano on Earth, was erupting. The Hawaiian tourism industry reaped the benefits from this marvel of nature as all of the hotels in the nearest town of Hilo were booked, even the famous Dolphin Bay Hotel.
Though visitors from the mainland and other islands arrive to witness the eruption, federal, local and state officials had been busy planning the possibility that the lave would reach the Daniel K. Inouye Highway.
It began erupting on November 27, 2022, joining neighboring Kilauea, which has been erupting since the previous year. Both volcanoes are located within Hawai Volcanoes National Park, which is still open and encouraging visitors to watch the twin eruptions safely. The park wrote in a Facebook post, "Stepping into week two of the Mauna Loa eruption. Two volcanoes, two eruptions and one park. It was another 'glowrious' morning today!"