Majority of Americans expect Trump to win second term even as impeachment inquiry heats up

With the Democrat-led impeachment inquiry in full swing and the 2020 presidential election less than a year away, a recent poll suggests that a majority of registered voters believe Donald Trump has a good shot at securing a second term in the White House. Over two-fifths of the survey participants said the President will be top of their mind while casting their vote next year. Released earlier this week, the POLITICO/Morning Consult survey revealed that 56 percent of voters expect the 73-year-old to be re-elected, of which 85 percent are Republican voters.

While those who voted in favor of Trump securing another term includes 51 percent of independents and 35 percent of Democrats. 43 percent of survey participants expressed strong disapproval in his presidency. The poll also revealed that voter enthusiasm for the upcoming election remains high even with almost a year to go. The voter turnout is also predicted to be high with more than 8 in 10 voters saying they are motivated to cast their vote in 2020, of which 69 percent expressed strong motivation to do so.

The high voter enthusiasm is seen across the political spectrum with Democrats and Republicans seemingly driving the enthusiasm. Almost three-quarters of voters in both parties stated they are especially energized to turn up for the election. According to POLITICO, this enthusiasm is likely to translate into great voting prospects as 92 percent of respondents said they are likely to turn out and vote in the 2020 presidential election. This includes 96 percent of Democrats and Republicans, and 86 percent of independents.

Speaking to the publication, Morning Consult's vice president Tyler Sinclair said, "President Trump's re-election prospects seem to be energizing voter enthusiasm across the political spectrum. Our data points show that Republicans and Democrats are equally inclined to say they are motivated and likely to vote in next year's election." Trump's re-election prospects do seem to be a clear motivating factor in driving up voter turnout with about four in 10 voters—including 68 percent of Republicans—saying they will be thinking "a lot" about the President when casting their ballot in 2020.

Meanwhile, voters appear to be divided on how they feel about the ongoing impeachment inquiry into Donald Trump. While 49 percent of respondents said they approve of it and 43 percent expressed disapproval, voters do not seem to have much faith in the way House Democrats are handling the inquiry. The survey was conducted online among a national sample of 1,983 registered voters between November 1 and 3.